Independent analysis of presidential elections, the Electoral College, and the voter coalitions that decide them.
The United States elects its president not by popular vote, but through the Electoral College — a system of 538 electors distributed across all 50 states and Washington D.C. To win the presidency, a candidate must secure at least 270 electoral votes.
This threshold makes a handful of competitive states — swing states — disproportionately decisive. The 270 Project tracks the shifting coalitions, demographic trends, and strategic decisions that determine which candidate reaches that magic number.
The 2024 election was not lost because of one demographic group, one advertisement, or one controversial issue. It reflected a broader failure to align the Democratic message with an electorate preoccupied with prices, economic security, and immigration.
Why sowing unfounded doubt about elections damages American democracy — and what genuine election integrity actually requires from winners, losers, and institutions alike.
Three states that were reliably Republican for decades are now genuine battlegrounds. Understanding why requires looking at demographic change, migration patterns, and the limits of partisan realignment.
Analysis, data, and context — delivered before the news cycle moves on. No spin. No noise.
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