Analysis
Articles
Evidence-driven analysis of elections, the Electoral College, and the coalitions that decide them.
Campaign AnalysisElectoral CollegeSwing States
How to Lose an Election: Lessons From the Democratic Defeat of 2024
The 2024 election was not lost because of one demographic group, one advertisement, or one controversial issue. It reflected a broader failure to align the Democratic message with an electorate preoccupied with prices, economic security, immigration, and dissatisfaction with the direction of the country.
·14 min read
Read →Election Integrity Is Bigger Than Winning
Why sowing unfounded doubt about elections damages American democracy — and what genuine election integrity actually requires from winners, losers, and institutions alike.
·10 min read
Read →The Sunbelt Shift: How Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada Rewrote the Electoral Map
Three states that were reliably red a decade ago now sit at the center of every presidential campaign's strategy. We examine the demographic forces behind the shift.
·8 min read
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